If we would like to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is an excellent sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and a few nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are lots of inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways talk about timing. The sooner the purchase price appears the much more likely there will be a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do a lot of research as soccer has be a big earner to them. They should do this as they are only too conscious of the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and can exploit any snippets of news that may allow them to have an edge. They advertise heavily inside the tabloids.
Whereas in a few minor sports there may be only one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is their turnover on the escalating IBO88 that Ladbrokes along with other such big bookmakers are able to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This really is clearly great news for the arb maker. Which means that the utmost bets they will accept on the bet are many higher.
There are many varieties of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This can be divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the first goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total numbers of yellow and red cards and so forth. In fact anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So which are the best soccer bets to look for? Firstly just forget about predicting the match score, you can find a lot of outcomes. The first goal scorer is a waste of time too. Both these kinds of bets are heavily advertised but are for mug punters only, the odds consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer industry is to open up accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. They both have strong opinions with this sport. They will likely price the sport in their country and the matches in foreign countries. Anything to create a profit.
Italy, as an example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the sport. Everyone thinks they know best with this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This really is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed knowledge of the comings and goings in their countries they may be counting on third parties to collate information on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between teams of different nationalities. There exists a tendency in punters to get patriotic in terms of events where the opposition are ‘foreign’. The chances of the house team get talked up and the odds could get skewed within their favour since the weight of money is overly wagered within their direction.
With that in mind the big bookmakers offer an early price, they will likely often advertise it within the national papers and by and large stick with it. Which means that a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt cash in their direction by providing different odds. If the were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
You will always find discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But remember these are ‘guessing’ what the odds ought to be just like you and me. They are basing their opinion on past experience and they might utilise statistical formulae but they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong along with other firms can have a completely different look at the outcome of a game. A totally different view will simply result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be sufficient to provide a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be covered by many different bookmakers throughout Europe. This does however put in a complication. Although really simple for finding arbs, the mere proven fact that you focus on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will get spotted through the bookmakers in the event you concentrate your action here.
Also they will probably be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have got done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You should weigh up the pros and cons of the strategy.
This is a fairly obscure area of betting and when someone ended up being to check your money over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your account it may ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different type of sport and events as you can so your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as many different sports are ideal for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will also produce arbs plus they are less likely to bring in focus on you and also the highest bets is going to be higher.
As before you cannot control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can be useful on your own account. The point here is that does not lots of people are interested in the lower European divisions and it may become clear that the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is also true in case your bets for the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be a lucrative area in soccer. Think about it. If a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and that he is the teams star striker than the will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am just not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices because the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This sort of last minute frantic activity is especially keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can serve as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the many soccer web sites. Alternatively satellite television stations also have comprehensive news coverage of all games and are quick to offer you any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all at the same time, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
Within this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new cost is the one which wont change the previous cost is one that is going to therefore may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When chances are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees have become more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for the total number of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others failed to. This can impact the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s consider the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points to get a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can get a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting here is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say chances of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a medical history of animosity between the teams by which case the odds are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will never figure strongly within your plans. And it also is unusual to find information being issued that will affect the total bookings bet. But an easy bit of news like the insurance policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The conclusion will not be to anticipate a lot of sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards nevertheless it simple enough to check the odds.